August 15, 2023

Realignment Chaos: Can the Non-Football Programs Preserve Traditional Rivalries?

 

Warren Grimes

With conference realignment foremost on our minds, it is appropriate to ask what will befall the non-football programs – programs that are central to Stanford regularly winning the Directors Cup and supplying the Olympics with gifted athletes.  A focus on football money streams is, unfortunately, unlikely to adequately address the interests of non-football programs and their student athletes.   

Stanford’s realignment has yet to be resolved, but most possible outcomes will raise concerns for Stanford Women’s Basketball as well as 30 plus other non-football programs, including men’s basketball, baseball, softball, women’s volleyball, and men’s and women’s soccer, tennis, swimming, gymnastics, and track and field.  Realignments may force time-consuming and expensive travel and the loss of traditional rivalries that motivate fans and players. 

Dismantling the Pac-12 conference will make it difficult to preserve regular contests with traditional opponents.  Stanford has decades of storied contests with the three other California-based Pac-12 members: California, UCLA, and USC.  And four other Pacific Coast schools (each a member of the old Pac-8) are regular rivals (Oregon, OSU, Washington, and WSU).  

Why is it important to maintain these traditional rivalries? 

Well, for one, the fans and the players value these rivalries.  Historical ties make for sharper focus and more intense competition.  The regional rivalries also make economic and environmental sense.  Why spend the time and money on long-distance cross-county treks when the competition is as good or better close to home.  Finally, there is the recruitment value of playing in a region where Stanford finds most of its recruits.

To be sure, Stanford recruits nationally and internationally.  For WBB, all three of our incoming freshman recruits are non-West Coast people.  Two others on the roster are from Greece.  That said, seven of the team’s upperclassmen are West Coast people – one from Oregon and six from California.  This season’s starting line up could well be made up solely of Pacific Coast players (Brink from Oregon and Iriafen, Demetre, Lepolo and Jump from California). 

There is an advantage in recruiting players who feel at home on the West Coast.  Was it an accident that all three players who transferred out of the program last year were non-West Coasters?  I can’t answer that, but it’s simply good advertising to have Stanford perform in areas where most potential recruits live.  Southern California has long been a key recruiting ground for Stanford WBB.

Football and men’s basketball provide most of the revenues for college athletics, but the bulk of an athletic department’s personnel are involved in non-football sports.  These coaches and staff are not just potted plants.  For any given sport, coaches have close ties to others in their sport, especially their in-conference colleagues.  These non-football coaches, while acknowledging the need for football generated revenues, will push for what is best for their sport and their program.   One might expect that they will push in the direction of freeing their sport from the ties of football conferences.  Failing that, if a conference schedule requires long and expensive journeys to faraway places, they will push to lighten the conference schedule, broadening their discretion to schedule nearby rivals.  These coaches and administrators already have substantial control over scheduling non-conference contests.

What’s good for Stanford is also good for our rival schools.  UCLA and USC, for example, doubtless see advantage in maintaining a non-football sport rivalry with Stanford, including the relatively short one-hour flight from Los Angeles to the Bay Area.  It is likely that every school leaving the Pac-12 will share Stanford’s interest in maintaining regularly scheduled contests among Pac-12 rivals.

Taking one additional step, it may be in the non-football programs’ interest to formalize these rivalries in a way that can ensure their long-term survival.   Schools in different conferences could still agree to regularly schedule games with one another.  For example, UCLA and USC could still agree to play one women’s BB game against Stanford each year, alternating home and away.  More broadly, an agreement between women’s BB programs could keep all the original Pac-8 schools on a once-a-year contest schedule.  Assuming Stanford was in a different conference from each of the other seven schools, this would mean 7 non-conference games each year, each against a traditional rival and each involving relatively manageable travel (If Cal, OSU, and WSU end up in the same conference with Stanford, that will mean only four non-conference games). 

This kind of agreement would preserve longstanding relationships among the schools and their coaches.  The agreements should be sport specific.  Baseball or women’s soccer, for example, would have to work out scheduling arrangements suitable for their sport. 

Stanford could take the lead in proposing such agreements, which arguably are in the interests of all the Pac-8 schools (and could even be broadened to include all schools currently in the Pac 12).  Cooperation among the Pac-12 coaches and administrators in non-football sports, in the longer term, could pave the way for separating football and non-football conferences.  There is precedent for that separation.  Stanford sports such as men’s volleyball, soccer, and water polo are part of conferences that have participants not conforming with Pac-12 membership. 

August 08, 2023

Demise of the Pac-12 and Other Off-Season Events

Warren Grimes

For women’s hoops fans, it’s been an interesting summer – not to mention the spring that preceded it. 

We learned at season’s end that the two top-ranked recruits from last year’s freshman class were transferring.  Lauren Betts, the #1 ranked high school recruit from last year, decided she preferred to play at UCLA.  Indya Nivar, another top 20 recruit, wanted to play closer to home in North Carolina.  On top of that, rising senior Agnes Emma-Nnopu opted to transfer to Texas. 

If there was a positive to be found anywhere in the off-season events, it was that Talana Lepolo, well behind Betts and Nivar in high school ranking, had become Stanford’s starting point guard and started for the U19 USA team that won the championship this summer.  Oh, and Cameron Brink – yes thank goodness for Brink – was the MVP of the champion USA team in the three-on-three WBB world competition in Vienna.

But in terms of what’s happened lately, it’s all about the disintegration of the Pac-12 conference.  After USC and UCLA announced their intention to join the Big Ten last year, the future of the conference was uncertain at best.  It’s worth noting, however, that even without UCLA and USC, the conference still could have been the best women’s hoops conference in the country.  

Three-time NCAA champion Stanford, with the winningest coach in BB history, was still there.  So was Arizona, which played in the NCAA championship game against Stanford in 2021.  Oregon could have won it all in 2020 if the NCAA tournament hadn’t been cancelled.  Then there was Utah, which shared the conference title with Stanford in 2023.  And not so lowly WSU, which pulled the most startling upset by winning the conference tournament last March (WSU still hasn’t bested Stanford in women’s hoops).  And that leaves out Colorado, which has become a no-nonsense team capable of beating Stanford and anyone else in the conference. 

So why take apart the best women’s hoops conference in the country? 

Well, the demise of the Conference had absolutely nothing to do with women’s hoops. 

It was all about money, money, money, and that money came primarily from football.  Each school that has chosen to leave the Pac-12, and that includes eight of the twelve members, has done so for a selfish reason – to maximize its television revenues.  In doing so, the schools showed little or no concern for the remaining conference members.  Nor have they paid much attention to women’s basketball or to any of the other non-football sports.  My hunch is that none of the eight women’s hoops coaches from the departing schools, while they will make the best of their opportunities, would have found this decision to be in the best interests of their program. 

So, the remains of the “Pac-4 Conference” are Stanford, California, OSU, and WSU.  The athletic directors at these schools can understandably ask: “what did we do wrong?” 

I cannot predict what will happen next.  A four-school conference is untenable, although the schools could agree to continue to cooperate in the short term, or even attempt a collective negotiation that would allow all four to join another conference.  The school with the most leverage may be Stanford, in part because of its storied record in many sports (winning the Director’s Cup consistently).  Stanford and California also have leverage because of their location in a populous Bay Area media market. 

Rather than try to predict, let me end by just suggesting what kind of a solution would be best--best for Stanford, but also best for the other three schools and college athletics generally.   That would be to separate football from the other sports.  As the UCLA football coach has suggested in an LA Times interview, there could be further consolidation of football conferences, perhaps even to the point of having a single national conference for football (with various regional divisions).  That conference could then negotiate lucrative media coverage contracts.  Other sports could be left to organize in smaller regionally based conferences (bring back a Pac-8 of the four schools in Washington, Oregon, and California?).  They could still sell media rights and bring in revenue, but money would no longer dominate decisions about what is in the best interests of the athletes and fans.