March 21, 2025

A Rant Over Perverse Conference Realignments -- And Some Possible Fixes

 

Warren Grimes

For the Stanford women, the season ended Thursday when the team was upset by Portland in the first round of the WBIT.  Stanford led most of the game, played good defense, but was unable to find sufficient offensive spark in the second half and overtime.  The Portland coach may have gotten the ear of the refs.  The game was called in a way that limited Nunu Agara’s inside moves and her late game participation.  Agara was the team’s clutch performer all season.  Her absence in much of the fourth quarter and in the final minute of overtime was pivotal.

I am proud of the team.  They had a difficult season but showed mettle and fight throughout.  Seniors Elena Boscana and Brooke Demetre brought us multiple highlight moments.  And fast developing freshmen and sophomores are a reason for optimism for next year.   They will be joined by a remarkable freshmen class that includes three McDonald’s All Americans.

The bigger and longer-term issue is how to fix the perverse results of conference realignments.   The troubling features of conference shifts affect all non-football sports.  They affect not only Stanford but at least 5 other former Pac-12 schools: California, Oregon, UCLA, USC, and Washington.   As a result of substantial additional travel time, the teams from all six schools are now at a comparative disadvantage when matched with conference rivals. 

The impetus for conference realignment was and is primarily the desire to maintain maximum football exposure and revenues.  Every school wants a share of gold mine football revenues.  What makes sense for football and its revenues, however, makes no sense for the rest of collegiate athletics. 

For the six former Pac-12 schools, all of them on the Pacific rim, the negative impact of realignments is obvious and severe.  Using Stanford women’s basketball as an example, let’s look at some of these negatives.

Negative Effects of Long Plane Trips and Constant time Changes -  For the Stanford women, playing in the ACC meant five long weekend trips of up to 6000 miles roundtrip for each.  Four of those trips were weekend matchups against ACC opponents.  The fifth was the ACC tournament.  Each one-way trip meant up to 5 hours in the air.  For the five roundtrip treks, that meant close to 50 hours of plane travel during the conference season (not counting local travel to and from the airport).  That’s a lot of time to be confined to an airplane. 

On top of this, four of these trips meant a three-hour time change at the destination followed by another three-hour shift on return.  That’s stress for body clocks for persons at any age.   The stress created by time changes affects not only players but coaches and other support staff who travel with the team. 

Was it an accident that Stanford women had a very respectable home game record but a miserable record on the road?  I think not.  Playing on the road is tough under any circumstances, but consider the difference between road games in the old Pac-12 and road games in the ACC: All Pac-12 games involved much shorter travel and at most a 1-hour time change (most were played in the same time zone). 

Impact on Athletic Department Budget – Paying for all this travel takes a heavy bite out of the Athletic Department’s budget.  If a road trip in the old Pac-12 usually involved less than a 1200-mile round trip, and an ACC round trip typically involves a 6000-mile round trip, travel costs are going to be much higher.  These increased costs are compounded if the school charters a plane for the team, something that I understand was done for the men’s and women’s basketball teams.

Impact on Recruiting – This impact is more difficult to predict.  Consider, however, the following.  Suppose Stanford is in a battle with Duke or South Carolina to attract a talented high school athlete.  If I am the coach at one of the Carolina schools, I am going to tell that athlete that if they choose Stanford, they will spend 50 hours on a plane during the conference season alone.  If they stay at one of the Carolina schools, they may have only 10 or 20% of that travel time during the conference season. 

This could affect not only the recruitment of players, but Stanford’s ability to attract coaches and other support staff.  Many of these folks are likely to have family obligations that make it much more attractive to have far more limited travel times.  Some Pac-12 games may involve fewer overnight stays, such as a trip to Los Angeles compared to a trip to the East Coast.

Impact on the Environment – The Los Angeles Times wrote recently about the negative effects of conference realignments on the environment.  Quite right.  If you consider that ACC travel compared to travel in the old Pac-12 means a difference of roughly 4800 additional air travel miles for each weekend road trip, and multiply this by the 5 conference road trips, for Stanford women’s BB alone this means 24,000 additional air travel miles for the team.  Now add to that the additional miles for men’s BB and for the 12 or more other conference sports, and you get a collective number of at least 240,000 additional air travel miles for Stanford teams ( The 240,000 figure is discounted  – some sports such as women’s volleyball – may have a comparable number of road trips while others, such as men’s and women’s soccer, will likely have fewer).

The total environmental impact of conference realignments for the six former Pac-12 schools will be far higher.   Cal’s travel miles should be the same as Stanford’s while the 4 schools that joined the Big Ten will have fewer miles (much of their travel will be to the Midwest, not the East Coast).   A crude estimate of total additional travel miles for the six former Pac 12 might be 1 million.   That’s not the end of it.  ACC and Big Ten teams not on the Pacific Coast will have a lot less added travel.  Still, collectively, these conference teams will have as many cross country trips as the total for the six West Coast schools.  So the total additional travel miles for all ACC and Big Ten teams may be closer to 2 million.  That’s a lot additional carbon dioxide pumped into our atmosphere, and for no good reason.

Ending unnecessary travel will not, by itself, end the climate crisis.  What is galling, however, is that six prominent academic institutions, each with environmental scientists on their faculty, would sign on to athletic arrangements that worsen global warming and that simultaneously put their non-football teams at a comparative disadvantage.

There is no need to schedule cross country trips to improve competition – The Pac-12 was a powerhouse in nearly all non-football sports.  In virtually every conference sport, the Pac-12 was one of the top two or three conferences in the country.  All that cross-country travel doesn’t improve the level of competition and, in some cases, may lessen it.

Fixing the Problem – Someone, perhaps a senior leader like Tara VanDerveer, should take the lead in calling out the insanity of current conference alignments for non-football sports.  Right now, Charmin Smith, Cori Close, and Lindsay Gottlieb are all involved in the women’s NCAA tournament.  As soon as that ends, get all the women’s BB coaches on a conference call, adding the coaches from Oregon and Washington.  Get them thinking and talking about solutions.  Then set up a zoom meeting that includes every other coach of a non-football sport from one of the Pacific rim schools.  The purpose of the meeting would be to get all of them to press their athletic directors and university presidents for a meaningful way to end this insanity.

What are the solutions?  The most comprehensive solution would be to cut football loose to make its own conference alignments while allowing non-football sports to join genuinely regional conferences that eliminate unnecessary and disadvantageous long journeys.  Notre Dame already separates football from other sports.  However, because of long-term media contracts, this across-the-board solution may be unlikely in the near term. 

There still could be meaningful short-term steps that could lessen the six schools’ comparative travel disadvantages.  Using women’s hoops as an example, the ACC and the Big Ten could agree to shorten the conference schedule, eliminating one or two of the required cross-country treks.  Replacement games could still count to conference statistics based on the quality of the opponent that a team plays.  This would allow Stanford and the other Pacific rim teams to schedule games against one another and other traditional opponents, such as Oregon State and Washington State. Similar approaches might be taken for other non-football sports.  

This proposal could encounter resistance from other conference members, some of whom might prefer to keep the former Pac-12 schools at a disadvantage by forcing them to travel more.  There are still advantages to all conference members in approving such a proposal.  It could enhance the reputation and national reach of the conferences, allowing all conference members more choice in selecting opponents.  It is also likely to contribute to fairness and long-term conference stability.  Finally, depending on how the scheme is set up, it could marginally decrease cross-country travel for all conference members.

Let’s get off the starting line.  Everyone who supports or works to foster Stanford’s non-football sports should demand action.   If you support Cal, or any of the other four Pacific rim schools, welcome aboard.  We need broad support from all six schools to make this happen.

Note:Some language in the final three paragraphs was amended on Marach 23, 2025.

March 18, 2025

"WBIT: Stanford's Post Season Opportunity

 

Warren Grimes

After losing its first ACC tournament game to Clemson, Stanford’s dwindling prospects for making the NCAA tournament disappeared.   Instead, Stanford is now a second seed in the Women’s Basketball Invitation Tournament (WBIT).

WBIT is a relatively new tournament organized in 2023 by the NCAA for 32 teams that are not playing in the regular NCAA tournament.  It has now replaced the WNIT as the second-best end of season tournament for women’s college hoops.   That status is assured because the first four teams out of the big dance are automatic first seeds for WBIT.  There are some very good teams in WBIT including three former Pac-12 teams (Stanford, Arizona, and Colorado) and three teams from the ACC (Stanford, Virginia Tech, and Boston College).

It’s likely that the top eight teams in the WBIT would fare well against some of the lower seeds in the regular NCAA tournament.  That’s so because lower seeded teams at the big dance tend to come from less competitive minor conferences. 

So Stanford is a second seed in a bracket that has Saint Joseph’s (23-9) as the number 1 seed.  Top seeds in other brackets include Colorado (20-12) and Virginia Tech (18-12), a team Stanford defeated in conference play.  Second seeds, other than Stanford, include Arizona (19-13) and UNLV (25-7). 

So Stanford has an opportunity to make a deep run in this tournament.  To get to the final  four in Indianapolis, Stanford must win three straight games, starting with its game against Portland to be played Thursday at Maples.  If it wins, it will host a second game against  the winner of Quinipiac and #3 seed Seton Hall.  The third game could be on the road against #1 seed Saint Joseph’s.

This Stanford team has an Achille’s Heal.  That would be its vulnerability to a defense that guards the perimeter and clogs the middle.  Clemson did that very well in its decisive win over Stanford in the ACC tournament opener.  Clemson’s scout was likely based on Stanford’s win against Georgia Tech, where Stanford was only 5 for 15 from distance, but blitzed Tech on the inside with Mary Ashley Stevenson’s 17 and Courtney Ogden’s 16. Clemson designed a collapsing defense that eliminated easy interior points and still stifled Stanford’s three-point shooting (3-11).

One answer to these offensive woes is Nunu Agara, who has the strength and skill to be a forceful interior presence.  She played just 17 minutes against Clemson (scoring 8 and grabbing 3 boards).  If she can find her earlier season form (averaging 15.5 points, 7.4 boards and 1.9 assists), Stanford can play with anyone in this tournament.

Other players playing at their best in the end season games include underclassmen Courtney Ogden (scoring 16 against Georgia Tech and 13 against Clemson), Chloe Clardy, Mary Ashley Stevenson, and Shay Ijiwoye.  And seniors Elena Boscana and Brooke Demetre want to end their Stanford careers on a high note.  Altogether, Stanford should have a nine-player rotation that could serve the team well in a single elimination tournament.

I’m looking forward to watching.

March 03, 2025

Upbeat Regular Season Finish: Stanford Has 10 "Dofigscos" to Diversify Its Offense

Warren Grimes

Stanford finished the season winning 5 of 6, including two victories over higher ranked teams.  One of those was the overtime road win against Virginia Tech.  The other was the season ending home win against George Tech, a NCAA-tournament-bound team.  Stanford can also celebrate its win over top-25-ranked Florida State.  It lost to 7 other top 25 teams, but many of these losses were one-possession games, including the overtime road loss to #7-ranked LSU. 

Four of the last six games were at home.  They were against worthy opponents, although none were against the top six ACC teams.  Stanford can take satisfaction from its wins despite the unavailability of Nunu Agara, the team’s top scorer, top rebounder, highest percentage free thrower, and a major assist maker.

Tournament opponents scouting Stanford must cope with unpredictability in the team’s offense.  Entering the post season, Stanford has on its roster 10 players who qualify as “dofigscos”.  A “dofigsco” is a player that has a double figure score in her season high game.  Higher level recognition, a double dofigsco, goes to players whose season high was 20 points or more.   A triple dofigsco goes to a player with a season high of 30 or more.

Stanford has only one triple dofigsco so far this season.  That is Chloe Clardy, who put up 30 points in the overtime win against Virginia Tech.  In that contest, Clardy had 45% of the assists, 40% of the points, and 33% of the steals.  Basketball is a team sport, but that game was Clardy’s game. 

Stanford has five players at the double dofigsco level.  Season highs of 20 points or more were reached by Nunu Agara (29 points against LSU); by Elena Boscana (26 points against UC San Diego); by Brooke Demetre (24 points against Florida State); by Tess Heal (24 points against Wake Forest); and by Jzaniya Harriel (24 points against Le Moyne). 

Base level dofigsco recognition goes to Courtney Ogden, Mary Ashley Stevenson, Shay Ijiwoye and Kennedy Umeh.  Three of these players have stepped up their performances in the late season.  Ogden, who was averaging 6.5 points per game during conference play, averaged 11.5 during the crucial last 6 games.  Ijiwoye, my nominee for most-fun-to-watch player, scored 10 vital points against Virginia Tech while Stevenson embarrassed Georgia Tech with 17 points.  

These three have helped to offset the challenge of an Agara-less team.  Three others have increased their productivity in the last 6 games.   Brooke Demetre averaged 14 points in the last six games, measured against a conference average of 9.7.  Clardy, in the last six, has averaged 14.3 points compared to her overall conference average of 11.9.  And Elena Boscana has averaged 13.5 in the last six compared to a conference average of 11.7.

There is uncertainty whether Nunu Agara will play again this season.  If she does, Stanford will be very difficult to scout.   If Agara does not play, Stanford still has 9 other dofigscos that can challenge any defensive scheme.  Four of them will come from the bench, giving Stanford a degree of depth that should be valuable in back-to-back tournament games.  Bench players Courtney Ogden and Tess Heal are players with double digit performances in multiple games.  Jzaniya Harriel, if she can return to form, will be another threat from the bench.  Bring it on!