January 31, 2012

No. 1 seeds look like a slam dunk

Charlie Creme (ESPN) thinks that Baylor, Notre Dame, Connecticut and Stanford are done deals for the No. 1 seeds, and that Stanford has an 85% probability of holding its position. Stanford's position would be in question only if they had a shocking loss or if Duke ran the table — which they won't since they lost to Connecticut last night (Creme's article was posted before that game).

What he finds more interesting about Stanford (and Cardinal fans will too) is where they will be sent for the first and second rounds. There's only one subregional site west of Texas — Spokane. Gonzaga is likely to make the tournament and would play there. And then there might be a Gonzaga/Stanford game — a rematch of last season's NCAA and this year's regular season games, which the selection committee tries to avoid.

So he thinks that Stanford may be sent to Norman or maybe Nashville for the subregional games.

"may" ... "might" ... "if"

Don't buy your plane tickets yet. The committee's decisions will be announced on Monday March 12th, and it's all speculation until then.

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